Soccer Betting on the phone inside the bar

Football Betting Systems That Work From Kamkru

Football betting systems can be a popular way for enthusiasts to enhance their enjoyment of the sport while potentially making some profits. While no system can guarantee success in betting, some strategies and approaches can increase your chances of making informed decisions and improving your overall betting outcomes.

Yet, even with a profound knowledge of the sport, they can still be caught without an adequate system or football betting strategy.

Despite having confidence in your ability to make the right calls on football markets, as we all know things don’t always pan out as predicted in football and sport in general.

That’s why bettors need to have a strategy to nullify the potential of abnormal results harming your bankroll.

In this guide, we’ll analyze a few betting systems in football to give more food for thought to punters who follow the global game and help you decide on your overall betting strategy for the sport.

Best Football Betting System That You Can Use

The effectiveness of a betting system can vary depending on various factors, including personal preferences, goals, and the inherent unpredictability of sports events.

Here are a few famous football betting systems that some people find useful:

Fixed Staking Plan

With this strategy, you consistently place the same stake size for each bet, regardless of the odds or potential returns. This system helps manage your bankroll more effectively and can be combined with other analysis techniques.

Statistical Analysis

Some bettors use statistical models and analysis to identify patterns or trends in historical data. This may involve studying team performance, head-to-head records, player statistics, and other relevant factors. However, it's important to note that past performance does not guarantee future results, and unexpected events can always occur.

The Kelly Criterion

One of the most debatable best football betting systems that requires much understanding.

What is the Kelly criterion?

The Kelly Criterion is a mathematical formula used in decision theory and gambling to determine the optimal amount of capital to allocate to a specific investment or bet. It provides a method for calculating the ideal percentage of your bankroll or investment portfolio that should be allocated to a particular opportunity, taking into account the probability of success and the potential payoff.

The Kelly Criterion is based on the concept of expected value, which considers both the probability of winning and the potential payout. The formula is as follows:

f* = (bp – q) / b

Where:

  • f* is the optimal fraction of the bankroll to be wagered or invested.
  • b is the net odds received on the bet (the ratio of potential profit to the amount wagered).
  • p is the probability of winning.
  • q is the probability of losing (1 – p).

The result, f*, represents the percentage of your bankroll that should be allocated to the bet or investment. It suggests increasing your investment when the expected value is positive and decreasing it when it is negative.

However, it's important to note that the Kelly Criterion assumes you know the true probabilities and potential payoffs, which is often not the case in real-world scenarios. It also doesn't consider risk tolerance, which may vary from person to person. Therefore, it's often used as a starting point for position sizing and risk management rather than a definitive rule.

Football Betting System You Should Avoid

Football betting systems that work are not always a good method of betting systems even though some of them are very low risk. But some of them are required specific fixtures.

Here is the list of football betting systems you should avoid:

Martingale System

First, let’s get the football betting systems that should be avoided out of the way.

This system involves doubling your stake after every loss, to recover previous losses and make a profit when you eventually win. However, it carries the risk of substantial losses if a losing streak persists.

Good in theory, but not quite the case in reality.

Let’s say you lost four even-money bets in a row having put £10 on your first wager. Your second bet would have to be £20, your third  £40, and fourth £80. Before you know it you’re out of pocket to the tune of  £150.

Fibonacci System

Among the three possible outcomes of football matches – win, loss, or draw – one often gets overlooked, the draw.

Perhaps this is because they can be more difficult to pick than either Team A or Team B wins.

That’s certainly the reasoning behind implementing the Fibonacci System, which is based on the theory that it is harder for bookmakers to predict a draw than the other two possible outcomes.

In the context of football betting, the Fibonacci system is typically used for wagering on the outcome of matches. The strategy involves adjusting your bet size based on the sequence of numbers in the Fibonacci sequence.

Here's a simplified explanation of how the Fibonacci system works in football betting:

  1. Determine your base betting unit: This is the amount of money you initially decide to bet.
  2. Place your first bet: Start by betting your base unit. For example, if your base unit is $10, your first bet will be $10.
  3. Adjust your bet size: If you win your bet, you move back two steps in the Fibonacci sequence and bet the corresponding amount. If you lose your bet, you move one step forward in the sequence and bet that amount. For example, if you win your first bet of $10, you move back two steps to the beginning of the sequence and bet $10 again. If you lose your second bet, you move one step forward in the sequence and bet the next amount in the sequence, which would be $20 (10 + 10).
  4. Repeat the process: Continue adjusting your bet size based on wins and losses, following the Fibonacci sequence, until you either reach the end of the sequence or decide to stop.

The idea behind this system is that by increasing your bet size after losses, you have the potential to recoup previous losses when you eventually win. However, it's important to note that the Fibonacci system, like any betting strategy, does not guarantee profits. It's possible to experience a long losing streak that could deplete your bankroll if you're not careful.

Before using any betting system, including the Fibonacci system, it's crucial to set a budget for yourself and only wager what you can afford to lose. It's also essential to do thorough research on the teams, consider other factors like form, injuries, and strategies, and make informed decisions when placing your bets.

Free Football Betting Systems

While we can provide you with some popular football betting systems, it's important to note that no betting system can guarantee consistent wins. Sports betting involves inherent risks, and it's crucial to exercise caution and practice responsible gambling.

Here is a quick football betting system that does not require deep understanding.

This strategy involves taking advantage of free bets and promotions offered by bookmakers to ensure a profit regardless of the match outcome. It requires placing bets on all possible outcomes with different bookmakers.

Arbitrage Betting

Arbitrage involves exploiting the odds discrepancies between different bookmakers to secure a profit. By placing bets on all possible outcomes of a match at various bookmakers, you can guarantee a win.

Value Betting

This approach involves identifying bets where the bookmaker's odds undervalue the probability of an outcome. It requires thorough research and analysis to find discrepancies and make profitable wagers.

Double Chance Betting System

With this strategy, you bet on two possible outcomes of a match rather than one. For example, you can bet on a team to win or draw, reducing the risk of losing but offering lower odds.

Draw No Bet

This system eliminates the possibility of a draw by providing a refund if the match ends in a draw. It allows you to bet on either team while providing a safety net.

Over/Under Betting System

This approach focuses on predicting the total number of goals scored in a match. You can bet on whether the total will be over or under a specific value set by the bookmaker.

Follow The Experts

Some bettors rely on the expertise of professional tipsters or expert opinions to inform their wagers. By carefully selecting reputable sources and performing additional research, you can make informed decisions.

Remember, these betting systems may work for some bettors, but success is not guaranteed. It's essential to manage your bankroll wisely, set realistic expectations, and understand that there will be losses along the way.

FAQ

: No, football betting systems can vary across different websites and platforms. While there may be similarities in some aspects, such as basic betting options like the outcome of a match or the number of goals scored, each website can have its unique features, odds, and betting markets.

Every football bettors have their considerations such as team and players.

Remember, betting on football carries risks, and no system can guarantee consistent profits. Treat betting as a form of entertainment, and only wager what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling is key, so set limits and prioritize fun over financial gain.

: Yes, you can certainly adapt and apply certain betting systems or strategies from other sports to football betting. While each sport has its unique characteristics and dynamics, there are often common principles and approaches that can be applied across different sports betting scenarios.

 Within our experiences so far, profitable football betting systems do not have the best football system. The best football betting system depends on the bettor, football matches, team news, and many punters.